Working paper

Regional Wheat Price Effects Of Extreme Weather Events And Wheat Export Controls In Russia And Ukraine

Year:

2016

Published in:

Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies
export controls
international trade
agricultural trade policy
Russia
Ukraine
grain markets
food security
extreme weather events
climate change
Exportkontrollen
internationaler Handel
Agrarhandel
Agrarhandelspolitik
Russland
Getreidemärkte
Ernährungssicherung
extreme Wetterereignisse
Klimawandel

This paper further builds on the price transmission model framework of existing studies to identify domestic wheat price effects of wheat export controls. We explicitly take the fact into account that a harvest failure causes domestic price effects as well. Moreover, the analysis at the regional level provides further evidence of the functioning of export controls in a large country. Results suggest a pronounced regional heterogeneity in the strength of domestic price effects of the 2010/11 export ban in Russia. The wheat price dampening effects amount to up to 67 % and are strongest in the major wheat exporting region with direct access to the world market. This effect is transmitted to other regions by increased and reversed interregional trade flows. Contrasting, regional variation of export controls´ domestic price effects in Ukraine is rather small.

Other publications by

57 publications found

2024
Working paper

Assessing the Environmental Performance of Agricultural Production Using a Parametric Approach: An Application for Crop Producers in Ukraine

Publisher: Eastern European Economics

Authors: Olha Halytsia, Maria Vrachiolia, Oleg Nivievskyi, Johannes Sauer

2010
Working paper

Poverty, Equity And Growth In Developing And Transition Countries: Statistical Methods And Empirical Analysis

Publisher: University of Göttingen

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel, Sergiy Zorya

2013
Book Chapter

Ізольованість Аграрної Економічної Науки України: Наслідки Та Шляхи Подолання

Publisher: Київський національний економічний університет імені Вадима Гетьмана

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi

2022
Journal article

Russia’S Invasion Of Ukraine Increased The Synchronisation Of Global Commodity Prices

Publisher: Agricultural and Resource Economics

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Rico Ihle, Ziv Bar-Nahum, Ofir D. Rubin

2011
Working paper

The Value Of Farmland - Expected Farmland Prices In Ukraine After Lifting The Moratorium On Farmland Sales

Publisher: Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Serhiy Kandul

2024
Journal article

An Interim Assessment of the War‑Induced Damages and Losses in Ukraine’s Agriculture

Publisher: the German Association for East European Studies

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Roman Neyter

2023
Working paper

Assessing The Role Of Small Farmers And Households In Agriculture And The Rural Economy And Measures To Support Their Sustainable Development

Publisher: SAFPI

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Pavlo Iavorskyi, Oleksandr Donchenko

2017
Conference proceedings

Where Will Demand For Land Come From? Evidence From Farm Models

Publisher: “2017 World Bank Conference On Land And Poverty”

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi

2024
Working paper

A Multiperiod, Multicommodity, Capacitated International Agricultural Trade Network Equilibrium Model with Applications to Ukraine in Wartime

Publisher: SSRN

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Dana Hassani, Pavlo Martyshev

2022
Analytical article

Biophysical Impact Of Sunflower Crop Rotation On Agricultural Fields

Publisher: Sustainability

Authors: Oleg Nivievskyi, Nataliia Kussul, Leonid Shumilo, Mykola Lavreniuk, Daniel Ayalew Ali